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Menges Group 5 Slide Series: State-Level Analyses of COVID Cases and Deaths Over the Course of the Pandemic

 

This edition of our 5 Slide Series provides state level analyses of monthly new cases and deaths over the course of the pandemic. Nationally, new cases and deaths decreased in September as compared to August, but many states experienced their peak in September. The percentage of confirmed cases in the US represented just 2.2% of the entire population, and 2.9% of these cases resulted in death.

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series: New COVID Test, Case, and Death Dynamics, August 1 – 15 versus September 1 – 15

This edition of the 5 Slide Series tabulates new COVID tests, cases, and deaths per 100,000 population at a state level to examine how the COVID-19 pandemic has shifted September 1- 15 versus August 1 – 15. Nationally, trends have mostly moved in a favorable direction. During the first half of September relative to the first half of August, confirmed cases and deaths have decreased by more than 20%, and positive tests as a percent of all administered tests during each timeframe have decreased from 7.1% to 5.2%. However, several states have trended in an adverse direction and reported an increase in new cases, deaths, and positive tests September 1 – 15 versus August 1 – 15.

5 Slide Series_New COVID Tests, Cases, and Deaths_Sept 18

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series: Recent COVID-19 Death Rate Trends at State and County Levels

Today’s edition of the 5 Slide Series investigates recent COVID-19 death trends in the United States at both state and county levels. Nationally, the number of new COVID deaths decreased by 19% September 3 – 10 as compared to the previous week (August 27 – September 3). Despite this national decrease, five states (Hawaii, West Virginia, Arkansas, Montana, and Tennessee) reported that more than 15% of their cumulative COVID deaths occurred during the past two weeks. We also identified counties with more than 100,000 residents that reported the largest per capita death rates as of September 10 and over the past week.

5 Slide Series_Assessment of Recent State COVID Deaths_Sept 14

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series: Monthly International COVID Death Rate Progression & State-Level New Cases and Deaths

This week’s edition compares the monthly progression of the COVID death rate in the United States to other countries that have been hit hardest by the pandemic. The United States currently ranks 9th highest regarding the COVID death rate per 100,000 population, and the USA’s rate is five times higher than the worldwide figure. Unlike any other country among the ten hardest-hit nations, new monthly COVID deaths in the USA increased from June to July and then increased further from July to August.
 
We also show monthly new COVID cases and deaths per 100,000 by state, presenting March through August and ranking the states on these statistical measures. 18 states experienced their highest number of new COVID deaths during August. Mississippi, Louisiana, Florida, South Carolina, and Texas had the highest per capita death rates in August. Vermont, Maine, Connecticut, New Hampshire, and New Jersey had the lowest per capita death rate in August.
 

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series: Recent Progression of COVID-19 Deaths

Today’s edition tracks recent COVID deaths in the USA in two ways.  The national weekly progression has been tabulated across the past two months, showing a decrease of 6% this past week versus the previous week.  However, new daily deaths remain near 1,000.  We also show daily COVID deaths by state comparing June, July, and August.  In 26 states across these months, the average number of daily deaths has been highest in August.

 

COVID 5 Slide Aug 28 Edition — Recent Death Progression

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series: Monthly Progression of Disparities in COVID Deaths by Race and Age Cohort and COVID Deaths Attributable to Nursing Home Residents

This week, we’ve revisited disparities in COVID deaths by race and by age cohort, showing monthly progressions during the pandemic.  An excerpted table from this edition is pasted below.  We’ve also assessed the proportion of all COVID deaths attributable to nursing home residents and how this has evolved over time.

COVID 5 Slide Series_Monthly Progression of Disparities in COVID Deaths by Race and Age Cohort and COVID Deaths Attributable to Nursing Home Residents_Aug21

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series Edition: Weekly Edition of Our COVID 5 Slide Series

Attached is this week’s edition of the 5 Slide Series.  These slides present the weekly progression of COVID deaths in the USA across the 23 weeks since the first death was reported.  The week ending August 1 was our seventh-worst week in terms of COVID deaths, and the fourth consecutive week where more deaths occurred than the previous week.  

We also tabulated state-by-state deaths in each of the past five months.  The states are fairly evenly divided in terms of what their “highest death” month has been between three months:  April, May, and July.  No state experience their highest level of COVID deaths in either March or June. 
 
Alex Cohn produced this edition.  Tomorrow will be Alex’s last day at our company as he is shifting gears to become a middle school biology teacher!  (A stressful consulting gig wasn’t challenging enough.)  We cannot adequately express our gratitude for what Alex has brought our company throughout his 4+ years here — in terms of contributions to our work and to our culture.  

 

Weekly and Monthly Progression of Deaths Attributed to COVID-19 8.6.20

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series Edition: Comparison of International COVID Death Rates and State Progression of Key Metrics Each Week of July

Today’s edition of our 5 Slide Series is attached and frames how the USA’s COVID death rate compares with other highly developed countries (our death rate is 78% higher).  We also portray each state’s weekly progression of COVID tests, cases, and deaths through the month of July.  July has been a disappointing “step backwards” month in the USA overall and especially so in many states.  Nationwide, we experienced nearly twice as many COVID deaths this past week as occurred during the first week of July.  

 

Comparisons of COVID Death Rates Across Countries and States, July 31 2020

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series Special Edition: Comparison of USA to Worldwide COVID Per Capita Death Rates

The Menges Group puts out these great analyses and insights each month. And is kind enough to let us repost them for the MM audience. Check out themengesgroup.com to learn more about the work they do. 

This week’s edition of our 5 Slide Series assesses the COVID death rate in the United States in a global context. The cumulative COVID death rate in the USA to date is 6.6 times higher than the rest of the world’s collective rate. Of the 160 countries whose COVID death rates have been tracked by Johns Hopkins University, the USA’s rate is 10th highest. One of this edition’s summary tables is shown below.

This edition also speaks to the need for accurate and objective data dissemination to optimally address the pandemic. 

Comparison of USA to Worldwide COVID Per Capita Death Rates

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series Special Edition: This Week’s COVID Tabulations–Testing, Case, Hospitalization, and Death Dynamics

The Menges Group puts out these great analyses and insights each month. And is kind enough to let us repost them for the MM audience. Check out themengesgroup.com to learn more about the work they do. 

The attached 5 slide series contains our tabulations of this week’s COVID progression. By all key measures, this has been a troubling week in terms of the pandemic worsening. New deaths were 22% higher in the week of July 8-15 versus those occurring from July 1-8. The number of persons hospitalized as of July 15 was 22% above the July 8 figure. New cases increased 20% this week relative to the prior week’s volume. Testing volume increased by 15%. The rate of tests with a positive result has increased further this past week (to 8.5%). The progression of these nationwide statistics across the past several weeks is shown below.

Weekly COVID Data Findings July 17