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Menges Group 5 Slide Series Edition: Comparison of International COVID Death Rates and State Progression of Key Metrics Each Week of July

Today’s edition of our 5 Slide Series is attached and frames how the USA’s COVID death rate compares with other highly developed countries (our death rate is 78% higher).  We also portray each state’s weekly progression of COVID tests, cases, and deaths through the month of July.  July has been a disappointing “step backwards” month in the USA overall and especially so in many states.  Nationwide, we experienced nearly twice as many COVID deaths this past week as occurred during the first week of July.  

 

Comparisons of COVID Death Rates Across Countries and States, July 31 2020

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series Special Edition: Comparison of USA to Worldwide COVID Per Capita Death Rates

The Menges Group puts out these great analyses and insights each month. And is kind enough to let us repost them for the MM audience. Check out themengesgroup.com to learn more about the work they do. 

This week’s edition of our 5 Slide Series assesses the COVID death rate in the United States in a global context. The cumulative COVID death rate in the USA to date is 6.6 times higher than the rest of the world’s collective rate. Of the 160 countries whose COVID death rates have been tracked by Johns Hopkins University, the USA’s rate is 10th highest. One of this edition’s summary tables is shown below.

This edition also speaks to the need for accurate and objective data dissemination to optimally address the pandemic. 

Comparison of USA to Worldwide COVID Per Capita Death Rates

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series Special Edition: This Week’s COVID Tabulations–Testing, Case, Hospitalization, and Death Dynamics

The Menges Group puts out these great analyses and insights each month. And is kind enough to let us repost them for the MM audience. Check out themengesgroup.com to learn more about the work they do. 

The attached 5 slide series contains our tabulations of this week’s COVID progression. By all key measures, this has been a troubling week in terms of the pandemic worsening. New deaths were 22% higher in the week of July 8-15 versus those occurring from July 1-8. The number of persons hospitalized as of July 15 was 22% above the July 8 figure. New cases increased 20% this week relative to the prior week’s volume. Testing volume increased by 15%. The rate of tests with a positive result has increased further this past week (to 8.5%). The progression of these nationwide statistics across the past several weeks is shown below.

Weekly COVID Data Findings July 17

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series: COVID-19 Tabulations: New Cases, Deaths, Tests, and Population Density

The Menges Group puts out these great analyses and insights each month. And is kind enough to let us repost them for the MM audience. Check out themengesgroup.com to learn more about the work they do. 

This 5 Slide Series edition tracks COVID-19 trends in various ways, such as the weekly progression of cases and deaths throughout the past three months. We’ve also captured week-to-week COVID-19 testing trends on a national basis. The number of new tests per week has nearly tripled since the beginning of April, but only two states have tested more than 10% of their population to date.

COVID-19 Tabulations- New Cases, Deaths, Tests, and Population Density_June 5

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Menges Group 5 Slide Series: COVID-19 State Testing Rates, Daily New Cases, and Top 25 County Hot Spots

The Menges Group puts out these great analyses and insights each month. And is kind enough to let us repost them for the MM audience. Check out themengesgroup.com to learn more about the work they do. 

This week’s edition conveys our tabulations on the recent week’s COVID developments. A key finding is that while new cases decreased by 3% nationwide this past week relative to the prior week, more than half the nation’s population resides in a county where the number of new confirmed cases increased. A more encouraging finding is that while nearly 10,000 new COVID deaths occurred this past week, this figure was 5,246 lower than the previous week’s new death count.  

 We have also provided testing data for each state. Nationwide, less than 4% of the population has been tested as of May 20; state-level figures range from a high of 11.4% in Rhode Island to a low of 2.2% in Idaho.   

COVID Tabulations- Testing, New Cases, and Hot Spots

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Menges Group 5 Slides Series – COVID-19 Death Rates by Age and Gender; Summary of State and County Data on Progression of New Cases

The Menges Group puts out these great analyses and insights each month. And is kind enough to let us repost them for the MM audience. Check out themengesgroup.com to learn more about the work they do. 

This week’s edition of the 5 Slide Series quantifies COVID-19 per capita death rate differences by age cohort and between genders, tracks the recent emerging volume of new cases at the county, state, and national levels, and includes a slide on the Top 25 Counties with regard to cumulative confirmed cases per capita.

COVID Case Progression; Death Rates and Hot Spots

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Menges Group 5 Slides Series – COVID-19 Death Distribution by Age and Gender; Summary of State and County Data on Progression of New Cases

The Menges Group puts out these great analyses and insights each month. And is kind enough to let us repost them for the MM audience. Check out themengesgroup.com to learn more about the work they do. 

Today‘s edition conveys four data tabulations. First, we quantify the distribution of deaths by age cohort, showing the tremendous skewing of deaths towards the older age categories. Persons below age 45 comprise 59% of the US population but have accounted for only 3% of COVID-19 deaths. Conversely, persons age 75 and older represent 6% of the US population but have accounted for a majority (58%) of all COVID deaths. 

Second, we show the percentage distribution of deaths by gender within each age cohort.  Males are perishing at a much higher rate from COVID-19 than are females.

 Third, we tabulated new case growth at the county level comparing April 22-29 versus April 29 – May 6. 50 percent of Americans reside in a county where new case growth increased this week relative to the previous week.

 Fourth, we provide detailed data on cases and deaths in each state and US territory. While the number of new confirmed cases decreased this week by 7% relative to the previous week, a massive stream of new cases continues to occur (190,000 new cases were identified from April 29 to May 6). Two-thirds of Americans reside in a state where new case growth increased this week relative to the previous week. 

COVID Case Progression; Deaths by Age and Gender

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Menges Group 5 Slides Series – State-level COVID-19 Progression and Counties with the Highest Per Capita Rate of COVID-19 Cases

The Menges Group puts out these great analyses and insights each month. And is kind enough to let us repost them for the MM audience. Check out themengesgroup.com to learn more about the work they do. 

Today, we are conveying two editions. The first one identifies and ranks the 100 “hot spot” counties with the largest rate of confirmed cases per capita, and provides various statistical information on each of these. Collectively, while these 100 counties represent 10% of the USA population, they account for a majority of the nation’s confirmed cases (58%) and COVID-attributed deaths (64%). 

 The second edition tabulates state level information. One significant finding is that the rate of new confirmed cases per day continues to rise sharply – the daily average increase from April 2 to April 9 was 32,734, up 54% from the prior week’s average of 21,300.  The nearly 11,000 COVID-19 deaths that occurred this week are roughly twice the number of COVID deaths that occurred in all prior weeks combined.

100 Counties with Highest Per Capita Rate of COVID19 Cases of April 7

State Level COVID19 Tabulations as of April 9

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Latest Vendor Reviews and Insights in The Medicaid Black Book – March 2020

Latest vendors reviews include: 

  • Acumen Fiscal Agent
  • Avolution
  • Cambria Solutions
  • Corticon
  • Elyon Enterprise Strategies
  • Esystems, Inc
  • eviCore Healthcare
  • HealthEC
  • MarkLogic


Distribution of latest results

1 vendor achieved 5 out of 5 stars. 3 vendors were rated 3/5 stars, 4 vendors were rated 4/4 stars. 

 There are now more than 40 in-depth vendor reviews in The Medicaid Black Book, with new ones added each month. 

 See the full list of vendor reviews included here- https://www.mostlymedicaid.com/?page_id=12669

 

Selected excerpts from latest strategic insights: 

 Industry thought leader interviews 

  • Aaron Lambert of Healthy Blue Louisiana gives his thoughts on the transformation of LA’s Medicaid program and provides insights on NEMT and administrative simplification. 
  • Bruce Crosby of Health Velocity Capital weighs in on the impact of politics on the investment outlook, provides details on CareBridge (LTSS space), and the need for deep domain expertise to succeed in Medicaid vertical investing. 

 

Industry trends analysis

 

  • MCO Financial Performance- The markets responded to the Wellcare-Centene deal. There was mixed EBITDA performance. 
  • Mergers, Acquisitions and Investment Activity  - There was extensive plan activity (beyond Wellcare/Centene), especially for provider acquisition and small market buys. On the provider side, home health investment continued and a resurgence of hospice funding was observed. 

  

 About The Medicaid Black Book 

The Medicaid Black Book is the premier market intelligence subscription product for business leaders in the Medicaid industry. 

 Content includes:

  • In depth review and rating of vendor firms that are currently trying to partner with Medicaid health plans or state agencies
  • Exclusive interviews with Medicaid Health Plan CEOs and Investment leaders
  • Highly focused content that matters to Medicaid industry business leaders, including
    • Surveys of what is top of mind for health plan CEOs
    • Analysis of key regulatory changes
    • Analysis of Medicaid health plan financial performance
    • Analysis of mergers and acquisitions activity